Analyzing position of sun in last photo
The Complete Mystery of Madeleine McCann™ :: Madeleine Beth McCann :: Photographs of Madeleine McCann's fateful holiday
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
I'm prepared to continue considering these (well those we've not already done).. if...Tony Bennett wrote:Noted.juliet wrote:We members of the "photoshopping brigade" as TB describes us, are not and never have been in disagreement with each other (as he so falsely claims). We are in total agreement that a not very skilled photoshopper has tried to suggest that these three McCanns once sat together at the side of the PdL pool. This photoshopper seems to have got the shadows right, according to those senior academic experts Tony loves to invoke, but he messed up Gerry's weightless body, his fat arm, Amelie's non existent arm, the tiny knob (finger?) on Amelie's neck, her eyeliner, that mystery black line by her arm, Maddie's poor unsupported neck, before even beginning on the sunglasses and the reflection...The people we disagree with are TB and Bluebag who for some reason have spent many days trying to clamp down on all photoshopping discussion. Btw we don't say the photo was "tampered with". That suggests tyere was once a photo to mess about with. We say the Last Photo was created to support the idea that Maddie was alive and well and part of a happy family holiday.
I see five extra examples in your post (in red above) of how this photo was 'created' by 'photoshopping' and accordingly will amend my previous list of examples of photoshopping claimst:
OLD LIST
1 whole of Gerry shopped in
2 whole of Madeleine shopped in
3 all three shopped in to the pool
4 just Madeleinee's head shopped in
5 someone used high tech photoshopping of shadows to make sure they were were all consistent with each other and with the height of the sun
6 Amelie's arm cut out
7 Madeleine's arm cut out
8 Madeleine's posture not natural
9 white and black item between Gerry and Amelie proves it's been photoshopped
10 Gerry looks like he's floating
11 Gerry's arm doesn't look right
12 nor does his thigh
13 sunglasses reflctions prove that he wasn't there
14 dandelion shadows not consistent with the others
15 bougainvillea didn't flower that time of year
16 Madeleine not wearing clothes for being by the pool
17 absence of emotional contact between the three of them
18 sun too high and shadows too short for that time of year
19 the photo was taken on a previous holiday
AND NOW I WILL ADD YOUR NEW EXAMPLES
Additions by juliet:
20 'messed up Gerry's weightless body'
21 Gerry's fat arm
22 the tiny knob (finger ?) on Amelie's neck
23 Amelie's eyeliner
24 Maddie's poor unsupported neck
Are there any more, juliet?
It would be very helpful for us to have a full list to consider
Juliet concedes that this one can be crossed off the list.
9 white and black item between Gerry and Amelie proves it's been photoshopped
Guest- Guest
Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
What white and black item between McCann and Amelie? There is an unexplained black line by Amelie's arm, which has no place there and which is in my list.
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
It's no longer unexplained.juliet wrote:What white and black item between McCann and Amelie? There is an unexplained black line by Amelie's arm, which has no place there and which is in my list.
You've need to read this read from yesterday afternoon forward.
Let us know what you think.
Guest- Guest
Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Are you actually saying that the thin little black line by Amelie is some sort of shadow of Gerry's arm? And we are supposed to take this seriously because you say so??
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
If you read from yesterday afternoon you will see why it is logical.juliet wrote:Are you actually saying that the thin little black line by Amelie is some sort of shadow of Gerry's arm? And we are supposed to take this seriously because you say so??
In a nutshell:
- The white bit is the continuation of the edge of the lip of the pool they are sitting on.
- The lip of the pool is raised from the ground behind them.
- The black line is the partial shadow of Gerry's arm, the rest obscured by the raised lip of the pool.
All pictures explaining this are in this thread.
Have a look and tell me why that doesn't work.
Guest- Guest
Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Tony Bennett wrote:MissesWillYa wrote:I'm hesitant to get involved here, but I thought of something...
Does anyone know whether there is a pool at the apartment where some think Madeleine's makeup photo was taken?
Are you referring to the Solimar apartments in Burgau, built and maintained by Robert Murat's father, where hairs which might belong to Robert Murat and Jane Tanner were found?
For that matter, is there a pool at Sagres, where people think the McC family went on Monday (or was it Sunday)?
People only think this because it suited British mainstream media stories on 11 & 12 May to claim that a paedophile [Wojcek Krokowski - see other thread in Debate section*] may have seen the McCanns at Sagres, either on the Monday or the Sunday. There is absolutely no evidence that the McCanns went to Sagres (some 16 miles from Praia da Luz) at all during that holiday - and 'madeleine' by Dr Kate McCann also makes no reference to a visit to Sagres
* [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
If it's the case that the last photo was most likely taken on a different day, maybe the three family members were photographed at some other pool, and then the OC pool's surroundings were added behind them? It's just a thought. Could that explain the weird lines near Amelie's wrist, it's the edge of some other pool they were sitting near?
An understandable suggestion, but it's not really necessary (there seems to be a perfectly valid reason for the 'weird lines' - see BlueBag's posts). Your suggestion would also mean that, if they were at another pool, they would all have to have been facing exactly the same way - because of the shadows. The shadows are precisely correct for the 'Last Photo', with the group sitting where they were photographed. It would be a remarkable coincidence if they were all facing the right way in another photo at another pool
Does anyone know whether these other two locations had pools?
I don't know.
If they were in other locations in the early part of the week, they may have had a photo taken of themselves there.
There is no evidence I'm aware of for their being in any other locations that week
Thank you for taking the time to reply to my post, Tony.
I hadn't realized that the trip to Sagres was probably a media invention. I must have misunderstood that as having been from a reliable witness.
I was suggesting that they were all facing the same way at another pool. I can see this being possible if there were another pool locally with a similar orientation. I don't really believe this is what happened, but it could be a reason for the weather indications in the photo.
Just a thought, anyway. The photo is on my mind a lot and I can see I'm not alone.
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
jeanmonroe wrote:Joss wrote:Does anyone know if the supposed "last photo" was analyzed by the software to determine if the photo was photoshopped or not? That would be one way to make a fairly accurate opinion on it i would think?
I don't know if you would need the original photo etc. or not, but this is some kind of computer programme to maybe help with that:
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Does anyone KNOW if the PJ 'had' the 'last photo' in their possesion, or had even 'seen' the 'last photo', within the first 'golden hour'?
It WAS in KM's camera at THAT exact time, so she says, wasn't it?
It WAS in her camera................right? BEFORE and AFTER the first GNR/PJ 'arrived' wasn't it?
I wonder why, KM would not, if she (KM) did not, offer up that very 'last photo', taken just hours before Madeleine's 'disappearance'. to the PJ, so that they (PJ) could hastily produce a 'cropped' section, of Madeleine 'only', that they could distribute to the hundreds of 'searchers', the next day, 4th May 2007, so that people would KNOW exactly WHO they were supposed to be 'looking/searching' for, whilst K&G were 'very busy' phoning relatives and searching the internet!!
They, the searchers/police, certainly were NOT 'looking/searching' for, a much 'younger' child, (well actually they were, because 'that' photo was the only one given to them, by the child's parents), a cutesy, younger, child in a red dress, in a photo taken months before, which bore no resemblance to the 'actual' Madeleine, in the pool 'photo', pictured months BEFORE Madeleine was even in PDL.
The last picture of Madeleine: Just eight hours later she was gone
By PAUL HARRIS and SAM GREENHILL
Last updated at 16:40pm on 25th May 2007
She must have been having so much fun.
Chuckling with delight, Madeleine McCann dangles her feet in a pool and poses for a holiday snapshot.
Less than eight hours after it was taken, Madeleine disappeared. So yesterday this became the last, poignant picture of the missing four-year-old - released by her grief-stricken parents in their desperate campaign to bring her home.
It shows Madeleine with her father Gerry and two-year-old sister Amelie, sitting beside the pool in their Algarve holiday apartment complex. Her mother Kate is behind the camera with Amelie's twin brother Sean.
It could hardly have captured her character more perfectly - a cheeky little Miss in a pink summer dress and floppy hat, stealing the limelight as usual with that trademark smile.
That was at 2.29pm on May 3, a few days after the family checked in to an apartment in Praia da Luz and just nine days before her fourth birthday.
And last night, another picture of Madeleine was projected onto London's iconic Marble Arch to bring her plight to the attention of the city.
During the day of her disappearance they had all gone for a walk, played tennis, and taken some more snapshots for the family album before relaxing by the pool.
Some time between 9.10pm and 10pm, an abductor is assumed to have snatched her from her bed while her parents dined nearby.
Three weeks on, there has been not a single trace of her whereabouts, no breakthrough in the investigation, and no clear indication that she is even still alive.
The 'Last Photograph' of Madeleine, released 24 May 2007 | |
It has been widely accepted, or at least reported, that the 'last photograph' of Madeleine - beside the kiddie's pool in the Ocean Club - was taken by Kate McCann, using her own digital camera. It has also been reported that the picture was taken at 2.29pm on 03 May 2007. Kate's camera clock is said to have been one hour out, so the display reads 1.29pm. However, there are no versions of the picture, so far released, that are able to confirm this. Although Portugal and the UK share the same time, it is reported that the camera clock was one hour out as Kate had not adjusted it after the change to British summer time on 25 March 2007. [color:526d=000000][You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] |
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MID - TERM REVIEW
MID - TERM REVIEW
An attempt at a mid-term review of the discussions about the Last Photo
It is interesting how much debate, not to say anger and vituperation this subject raises.
Way beyond normal debate, argument, refutation, counter argument, introduction of new evidence,
No, something much more visceral is at play here, and one begins to believe that those who take one particular view realise how devastating it would be if the Last Photo were found to be not exactly right.
Let us sum up.
For the Last Photo to be evidence of Madeleine’s continued existence in good health at lunchtime on 3/5/7 every single aspect of it has to be absolutely right.
If one thing can be shown to be wrong, then it is a Forgery - it tells a lie about itself, and can no longer be prayed in aid, or adduced as proof.
The time (accepting that it can vary by one hour) the date, the 3 people portrayed the location, the weather, their clothing, their positioning, the sunshine conditions, the wind, and all the EXIF, MUST be absolutely correct and beyond reproach and reasoned criticism.
But the more some begin to worry about individual aspects of the photo the more it seems others rush into the breach to defend it.
It is now being argued, apparently in all seriousness that the Weather reports from the local airport could be wrong.
That is then countered with video of a major windsurfing competition just down the coast, and the written reports from that event and from locals who keep such records.
But that is clearly not sufficient and we are then told that the photo was taken inland, whereas the video was on the coast. This is of course true, but it is presented as if the difference of 400 m between sea and tennis court was especially significant.
We are then told that wind speed is taken with an Anemometer at 3m from the ground in an open area and that the frictional resistance of hedges, trees, buildings, shrubs, cars, and so on will effectively slow the apparent wind speed at human level. This is correct, of course, but this argument is considerably reduced by noting that the wind from the SSW passes across a large area of open land, a car park, a road, a low wall and some thin and low vegetation, before passing round or through a chain link fence before hitting the three people full in the face, without ruffling Madeleine's fine hair, nor dislodging the children's sun hats
We are also asked to accept that the fact that the sun shone through for a few minutes on a day when the cover increased from 50% + to 75% plus, before clearing later in the evening, would be sufficient to vindicate the Photo.
But people dress for the average of the weather they anticuipate, and all three are dressed for a hot and sunny day, not one with thick clouds which lets the sun through for a few minutes from time to time.
The perspiration sheen, no more, on Gerry’s forehead was noted, but then in an extraordinary leap we are asked to believe that he had come directly from a tennis court, and for that reason would have been sweating. Except that he is not sweating. There is no sweat on his T shirt, either under the arms, nor in the characteristic stripe down the front below the chin. If he had been sweating he would be likely to have showered and changed before lunch. He is wearing ‘normal’ clothing for a hot day. He is not wearing Tennis gear, and as a keen and semi-professional sportsman of many year’s standing, would be likely to adhere to a fairly rigid personal dress code when on court. He has his feet in the pool, there is no sign of expensive tennis shoes
But strangely this explanation is totally independent of, and in fact contrary to anything the McCanns have told us about the sequence of events.
The alternative timings of 13:29 and 14:29 are also in direct contradiction to what is said in statements elsewhere,
And then we come to the strange timings
Why was this not used as the poster photo ?. It is argued that the poster has to be full face with no hat. To which one is forced to ask - Why? The cropped pool photo is far more representative of a child than the much younger one presented from several months before.
Why was the photo not handed to the PJ. The PJ ended up issuing the poster photo on their own official poster in the absence of any other or better image
And what is the significance of the sequence
20th GM to UK to collect photos from the album
22nd GM, PM (PR) return to PdL with Mitchell
23rd photo sent to AFP
24th photo released to world
But then there is a further inadvertent spin off
The wind at lunchtime is recorded at Force 4 - stiff breeze.
Assuming we accept the argument that at ground level even across open land etc. it would have been less than that, then let us move to consideration of the wind at 10pm
By then it is Force 2/3 and has veered to WNW, at a slight angle to the road and the car park. The road is built up, gardens have trees and bushes, the car park was protected by high trees and thick bushes. The window to the children’s room was further partially protected by a wall, somewhat higher that the sill
The window opening is max. 1 m x 0.5 m = 0.5 square metre
The door is 2 m x 0.75 m = 1.5 square metre
thus reducing the effective wind speed / pressure by two thirds.
For a gust to slam the door against the weight of an adult holding it, and for a second gust to whoosh full length curtains from where they are trapped between the bed and the wall, and against the wall and the wicker chair, would need a series of gusts of Force 7 +
The effect of this on the 40 square metres of the tarpaulin cover in the Tapas bar would have been “noticeable”, and at Faro airport the wind sheer caused by these extraordinary conditions would have been noted and pilots warned to take appropriate evasive action.
Even when the Tapas group made their rogatories and were specifically asked about the wind conditions, not one commented on this strange phenomenon.
Beyond a reasonable doubt ? Not sure if an entire jury would agree
Balance of probabilities ? Certainly arguable
An attempt at a mid-term review of the discussions about the Last Photo
It is interesting how much debate, not to say anger and vituperation this subject raises.
Way beyond normal debate, argument, refutation, counter argument, introduction of new evidence,
No, something much more visceral is at play here, and one begins to believe that those who take one particular view realise how devastating it would be if the Last Photo were found to be not exactly right.
Let us sum up.
For the Last Photo to be evidence of Madeleine’s continued existence in good health at lunchtime on 3/5/7 every single aspect of it has to be absolutely right.
If one thing can be shown to be wrong, then it is a Forgery - it tells a lie about itself, and can no longer be prayed in aid, or adduced as proof.
The time (accepting that it can vary by one hour) the date, the 3 people portrayed the location, the weather, their clothing, their positioning, the sunshine conditions, the wind, and all the EXIF, MUST be absolutely correct and beyond reproach and reasoned criticism.
But the more some begin to worry about individual aspects of the photo the more it seems others rush into the breach to defend it.
It is now being argued, apparently in all seriousness that the Weather reports from the local airport could be wrong.
That is then countered with video of a major windsurfing competition just down the coast, and the written reports from that event and from locals who keep such records.
But that is clearly not sufficient and we are then told that the photo was taken inland, whereas the video was on the coast. This is of course true, but it is presented as if the difference of 400 m between sea and tennis court was especially significant.
We are then told that wind speed is taken with an Anemometer at 3m from the ground in an open area and that the frictional resistance of hedges, trees, buildings, shrubs, cars, and so on will effectively slow the apparent wind speed at human level. This is correct, of course, but this argument is considerably reduced by noting that the wind from the SSW passes across a large area of open land, a car park, a road, a low wall and some thin and low vegetation, before passing round or through a chain link fence before hitting the three people full in the face, without ruffling Madeleine's fine hair, nor dislodging the children's sun hats
We are also asked to accept that the fact that the sun shone through for a few minutes on a day when the cover increased from 50% + to 75% plus, before clearing later in the evening, would be sufficient to vindicate the Photo.
But people dress for the average of the weather they anticuipate, and all three are dressed for a hot and sunny day, not one with thick clouds which lets the sun through for a few minutes from time to time.
The perspiration sheen, no more, on Gerry’s forehead was noted, but then in an extraordinary leap we are asked to believe that he had come directly from a tennis court, and for that reason would have been sweating. Except that he is not sweating. There is no sweat on his T shirt, either under the arms, nor in the characteristic stripe down the front below the chin. If he had been sweating he would be likely to have showered and changed before lunch. He is wearing ‘normal’ clothing for a hot day. He is not wearing Tennis gear, and as a keen and semi-professional sportsman of many year’s standing, would be likely to adhere to a fairly rigid personal dress code when on court. He has his feet in the pool, there is no sign of expensive tennis shoes
But strangely this explanation is totally independent of, and in fact contrary to anything the McCanns have told us about the sequence of events.
The alternative timings of 13:29 and 14:29 are also in direct contradiction to what is said in statements elsewhere,
And then we come to the strange timings
Why was this not used as the poster photo ?. It is argued that the poster has to be full face with no hat. To which one is forced to ask - Why? The cropped pool photo is far more representative of a child than the much younger one presented from several months before.
Why was the photo not handed to the PJ. The PJ ended up issuing the poster photo on their own official poster in the absence of any other or better image
And what is the significance of the sequence
20th GM to UK to collect photos from the album
22nd GM, PM (PR) return to PdL with Mitchell
23rd photo sent to AFP
24th photo released to world
But then there is a further inadvertent spin off
The wind at lunchtime is recorded at Force 4 - stiff breeze.
Assuming we accept the argument that at ground level even across open land etc. it would have been less than that, then let us move to consideration of the wind at 10pm
By then it is Force 2/3 and has veered to WNW, at a slight angle to the road and the car park. The road is built up, gardens have trees and bushes, the car park was protected by high trees and thick bushes. The window to the children’s room was further partially protected by a wall, somewhat higher that the sill
The window opening is max. 1 m x 0.5 m = 0.5 square metre
The door is 2 m x 0.75 m = 1.5 square metre
thus reducing the effective wind speed / pressure by two thirds.
For a gust to slam the door against the weight of an adult holding it, and for a second gust to whoosh full length curtains from where they are trapped between the bed and the wall, and against the wall and the wicker chair, would need a series of gusts of Force 7 +
The effect of this on the 40 square metres of the tarpaulin cover in the Tapas bar would have been “noticeable”, and at Faro airport the wind sheer caused by these extraordinary conditions would have been noted and pilots warned to take appropriate evasive action.
Even when the Tapas group made their rogatories and were specifically asked about the wind conditions, not one commented on this strange phenomenon.
Beyond a reasonable doubt ? Not sure if an entire jury would agree
Balance of probabilities ? Certainly arguable
Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
[color:2293=000000]Technical details show:
'Create Date' of 24 May 2007, which is the date it was created for press release.
'Date Digitized' (Date taken) of 03 May 2007 at 13:29:51, which ties in with the time the McCanns' claim the picture was taken - however, it is relatively easy to alter this date, to give a false reading, by downloading a utility called ExifTool from the web.
Thanks to 'gestalt' from the3arguidos forum for tracking down this copy and 'BakedBean' for EXIF information
Full EXIF details:
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Create Date 2007:05:03 13:29:51
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[color:2293=000000]Modify Date 2007:05:24 17:41:22
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Caption-Abstract CORRECTING SOURCE IN IPCT: Picture released by the McCann family 24 May 2007 and was taken 03 May 2007, the same day Madeleine McCann (R) went missing from the family's holiday apartment in the southern Algarve region. The photo also shows Madeleine's father Gerry and sister Amelie. Madeleine was abducted as she slept with her brother and sister in a hotel apartment at the Ocean Club Resort while her parents dined at a nearby restaurant. AFP PHOTO/HO
Category CLJ
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Copyright Notice ImageForum
Country-Primary Location Code PRT
Country-Primary Location Name Portugal
Credit AFP
Date Created 2007:05:24
11 months, 23 days, 16 hours, 44 minutes, 24 seconds ago
Headline -
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Object Name CORRECTION-PORTUGAL-BRITAIN-CRIME
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Source FAMILY HANDOUT
Special Instructions CORRECTING SOURCE IN IPCT
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Joss- Posts : 1960
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Join date : 2011-09-19
Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Thank you.PeterMac wrote:MID - TERM REVIEW
An attempt at a mid-term review of the discussions about the Last Photo
It is interesting how much debate, not to say anger and vituperation this subject raises.
Way beyond normal debate, argument, refutation, counter argument, introduction of new evidence,
No, something much more visceral is at play here, and one begins to believe that those who take one particular view realise how devastating it would be if the Last Photo were found to be not exactly right.
Let us sum up.
For the Last Photo to be evidence of Madeleine’s continued existence in good health at lunchtime on 3/5/7 every single aspect of it has to be absolutely right.
If one thing can be shown to be wrong, then it is a Forgery - it tells a lie about itself, and can no longer be prayed in aid, or adduced as proof.
The time (accepting that it can vary by one hour) the date, the 3 people portrayed the location, the weather, their clothing, their positioning, the sunshine conditions, the wind, and all the EXIF, MUST be absolutely correct and beyond reproach and reasoned criticism.
But the more some begin to worry about individual aspects of the photo the more it seems others rush into the breach to defend it.
It is now being argued, apparently in all seriousness that the Weather reports from the local airport could be wrong.
That is then countered with video of a major windsurfing competition just down the coast, and the written reports from that event and from locals who keep such records.
But that is clearly not sufficient and we are then told that the photo was taken inland, whereas the video was on the coast. This is of course true, but it is presented as if the difference of 400 m between sea and tennis court was especially significant.
We are then told that wind speed is taken with an Anemometer at 3m from the ground in an open area and that the frictional resistance of hedges, trees, buildings, shrubs, cars, and so on will effectively slow the apparent wind speed at human level. This is correct, of course, but this argument is considerably reduced by noting that the wind from the SSW passes across a large area of open land, a car park, a road, a low wall and some thin and low vegetation, before passing round or through a chain link fence before hitting the three people full in the face, without ruffling Madeleine's fine hair, nor dislodging the children's sun hats
We are also asked to accept that the fact that the sun shone through for a few minutes on a day when the cover increased from 50% + to 75% plus, before clearing later in the evening, would be sufficient to vindicate the Photo.
But people dress for the average of the weather they anticuipate, and all three are dressed for a hot and sunny day, not one with thick clouds which lets the sun through for a few minutes from time to time.
The perspiration sheen, no more, on Gerry’s forehead was noted, but then in an extraordinary leap we are asked to believe that he had come directly from a tennis court, and for that reason would have been sweating. Except that he is not sweating. There is no sweat on his T shirt, either under the arms, nor in the characteristic stripe down the front below the chin. If he had been sweating he would be likely to have showered and changed before lunch. He is wearing ‘normal’ clothing for a hot day. He is not wearing Tennis gear, and as a keen and semi-professional sportsman of many year’s standing, would be likely to adhere to a fairly rigid personal dress code when on court. He has his feet in the pool, there is no sign of expensive tennis shoes
But strangely this explanation is totally independent of, and in fact contrary to anything the McCanns have told us about the sequence of events.
The alternative timings of 13:29 and 14:29 are also in direct contradiction to what is said in statements elsewhere,
And then we come to the strange timings
Why was this not used as the poster photo ?. It is argued that the poster has to be full face with no hat. To which one is forced to ask - Why? The cropped pool photo is far more representative of a child than the much younger one presented from several months before.
Why was the photo not handed to the PJ. The PJ ended up issuing the poster photo on their own official poster in the absence of any other or better image
And what is the significance of the sequence
20th GM to UK to collect photos from the album
22nd GM, PM (PR) return to PdL with Mitchell
23rd photo sent to AFP
24th photo released to world
But then there is a further inadvertent spin off
The wind at lunchtime is recorded at Force 4 - stiff breeze.
Assuming we accept the argument that at ground level even across open land etc. it would have been less than that, then let us move to consideration of the wind at 10pm
By then it is Force 2/3 and has veered to WNW, at a slight angle to the road and the car park. The road is built up, gardens have trees and bushes, the car park was protected by high trees and thick bushes. The window to the children’s room was further partially protected by a wall, somewhat higher that the sill
The window opening is max. 1 m x 0.5 m = 0.5 square metre
The door is 2 m x 0.75 m = 1.5 square metre
thus reducing the effective wind speed / pressure by two thirds.
For a gust to slam the door against the weight of an adult holding it, and for a second gust to whoosh full length curtains from where they are trapped between the bed and the wall, and against the wall and the wicker chair, would need a series of gusts of Force 7 +
The effect of this on the 40 square metres of the tarpaulin cover in the Tapas bar would have been “noticeable”, and at Faro airport the wind sheer caused by these extraordinary conditions would have been noted and pilots warned to take appropriate evasive action.
Even when the Tapas group made their rogatories and were specifically asked about the wind conditions, not one commented on this strange phenomenon.
Beyond a reasonable doubt ? Not sure if an entire jury would agree
Balance of probabilities ? Certainly arguable
plebgate- Posts : 6729
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
juliet wrote:We members of the "photoshopping brigade" as TB describes us, are not and never have been in disagreement with eachother (as he so falsely claims). We are in total agreement that a not very skilled photoshopper has tried to suggest that these three McCanns once sat together at the side of the PdL pool. This photoshopper seems to have got the shadows right, according to those senior academic experts Tony loves to invoke, but he messed up Gerry's weightless body, his fat arm, Amelie's non existent arm, the tiny knob (finger?) on Amelie's neck, her eyeliner, that mystery black line by her arm, Maddie's poor unsupported neck, before even beginning on the sunglasses and the reflection...The people we disagree with are TB and Bluebag who for some reason have spent many days trying to clamp down on all photoshopping discussion. Btw we don't say the photo was "tampered with". That suggests tyere was once a photo to mess about with. We say the Last Photo was created to support the idea that Maddie was alive and well and part of a happy family holiday.
You state a "not very skilled photoshopper" and that the photo was "created".
I'm genuinely curious as to which elements you believe have been put together and whether you have ever tried photoshopping or have researched it.
The effort alone in getting the hairstrands of the three of them correct, especially if the originals weren't against a plain studio background is significant if even possible. Add in the shadows and everything else that would have to be addressed such as getting the lighting correct and you have an incredible photoshopper in my opinion.
The sunglasses reflection is easy enough to explain but a little harder to demonstrate. I'm working on it.
rustyjames- Posts : 293
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Excellent review PeterMac,PeterMac wrote:MID - TERM REVIEW
An attempt at a mid-term review of the discussions about the Last Photo
It is interesting how much debate, not to say anger and vituperation this subject raises.
Way beyond normal debate, argument, refutation, counter argument, introduction of new evidence,
No, something much more visceral is at play here, and one begins to believe that those who take one particular view realise how devastating it would be if the Last Photo were found to be not exactly right.
Let us sum up.
For the Last Photo to be evidence of Madeleine’s continued existence in good health at lunchtime on 3/5/7 every single aspect of it has to be absolutely right.
If one thing can be shown to be wrong, then it is a Forgery - it tells a lie about itself, and can no longer be prayed in aid, or adduced as proof.
The time (accepting that it can vary by one hour) the date, the 3 people portrayed the location, the weather, their clothing, their positioning, the sunshine conditions, the wind, and all the EXIF, MUST be absolutely correct and beyond reproach and reasoned criticism.
But the more some begin to worry about individual aspects of the photo the more it seems others rush into the breach to defend it.
It is now being argued, apparently in all seriousness that the Weather reports from the local airport could be wrong.
That is then countered with video of a major windsurfing competition just down the coast, and the written reports from that event and from locals who keep such records.
But that is clearly not sufficient and we are then told that the photo was taken inland, whereas the video was on the coast. This is of course true, but it is presented as if the difference of 400 m between sea and tennis court was especially significant.
We are then told that wind speed is taken with an Anemometer at 3m from the ground in an open area and that the frictional resistance of hedges, trees, buildings, shrubs, cars, and so on will effectively slow the apparent wind speed at human level. This is correct, of course, but this argument is considerably reduced by noting that the wind from the SSW passes across a large area of open land, a car park, a road, a low wall and some thin and low vegetation, before passing round or through a chain link fence before hitting the three people full in the face, without ruffling Madeleine's fine hair, nor dislodging the children's sun hats
We are also asked to accept that the fact that the sun shone through for a few minutes on a day when the cover increased from 50% + to 75% plus, before clearing later in the evening, would be sufficient to vindicate the Photo.
But people dress for the average of the weather they anticuipate, and all three are dressed for a hot and sunny day, not one with thick clouds which lets the sun through for a few minutes from time to time.
The perspiration sheen, no more, on Gerry’s forehead was noted, but then in an extraordinary leap we are asked to believe that he had come directly from a tennis court, and for that reason would have been sweating. Except that he is not sweating. There is no sweat on his T shirt, either under the arms, nor in the characteristic stripe down the front below the chin. If he had been sweating he would be likely to have showered and changed before lunch. He is wearing ‘normal’ clothing for a hot day. He is not wearing Tennis gear, and as a keen and semi-professional sportsman of many year’s standing, would be likely to adhere to a fairly rigid personal dress code when on court. He has his feet in the pool, there is no sign of expensive tennis shoes
But strangely this explanation is totally independent of, and in fact contrary to anything the McCanns have told us about the sequence of events.
The alternative timings of 13:29 and 14:29 are also in direct contradiction to what is said in statements elsewhere,
And then we come to the strange timings
Why was this not used as the poster photo ?. It is argued that the poster has to be full face with no hat. To which one is forced to ask - Why? The cropped pool photo is far more representative of a child than the much younger one presented from several months before.
Why was the photo not handed to the PJ. The PJ ended up issuing the poster photo on their own official poster in the absence of any other or better image
And what is the significance of the sequence
20th GM to UK to collect photos from the album
22nd GM, PM (PR) return to PdL with Mitchell
23rd photo sent to AFP
24th photo released to world
But then there is a further inadvertent spin off
The wind at lunchtime is recorded at Force 4 - stiff breeze.
Assuming we accept the argument that at ground level even across open land etc. it would have been less than that, then let us move to consideration of the wind at 10pm
By then it is Force 2/3 and has veered to WNW, at a slight angle to the road and the car park. The road is built up, gardens have trees and bushes, the car park was protected by high trees and thick bushes. The window to the children’s room was further partially protected by a wall, somewhat higher that the sill
The window opening is max. 1 m x 0.5 m = 0.5 square metre
The door is 2 m x 0.75 m = 1.5 square metre
thus reducing the effective wind speed / pressure by two thirds.
For a gust to slam the door against the weight of an adult holding it, and for a second gust to whoosh full length curtains from where they are trapped between the bed and the wall, and against the wall and the wicker chair, would need a series of gusts of Force 7 +
The effect of this on the 40 square metres of the tarpaulin cover in the Tapas bar would have been “noticeable”, and at Faro airport the wind sheer caused by these extraordinary conditions would have been noted and pilots warned to take appropriate evasive action.
Even when the Tapas group made their rogatories and were specifically asked about the wind conditions, not one commented on this strange phenomenon.
Beyond a reasonable doubt ? Not sure if an entire jury would agree
Balance of probabilities ? Certainly arguable
Joss- Posts : 1960
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Yes good summary PeterMac.
Just one minor thing - I posted the other day that the video you posted earlier in this thread was possibly the wrong link as it was of Day 4 and I believe May 3rd was Day 3 of the competition. Day 4 looks a lot nicer.
Just one minor thing - I posted the other day that the video you posted earlier in this thread was possibly the wrong link as it was of Day 4 and I believe May 3rd was Day 3 of the competition. Day 4 looks a lot nicer.
rustyjames- Posts : 293
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Very well put, PeterMac, and easy to understand. Thank you.
____________________
Fight for Madeleine
palm tree- Posts : 365
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Joss thanks for posting up the info about the metadata. It says the picture was created on the 3rd but modified on the 24th. Could this mean the creation date could have been modified?
____________________
The truth will out.
Smokeandmirrors- Posts : 2458
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
You're welcome. In reply to your question it could be modified but i don't really know for sure. I am not very photography knowledgeable, but maybe someone else that is could answer the question a bit better?Smokeandmirrors wrote:Joss thanks for posting up the info about the metadata. It says the picture was created on the 3rd but modified on the 24th. Could this mean the creation date could have been modified?
The info. is from the link i just posted earlier, the Mccannfiles.
Joss- Posts : 1960
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Smokeandmirrors wrote:Joss thanks for posting up the info about the metadata. It says the picture was created on the 3rd but modified on the 24th. Could this mean the creation date could have been modified?
Unfortunately we don't have the original picture before anything could have been changed in the data.
The 24th was the day the photo was released to the public, and the only version I'm aware of we have with exif data is the AFP agency version, so anything could have changed from the original data. The exif data is already a mix of that from the camera and from the agency - they appear to have used photoshop to add in the caption and copyright information. The caption starts with "CORRECTING SOURCE IN IPCT" - I suspect this is a misspelling of IPTC "The International Press Telecommunications Council" and is a standard for tagging press photos with information.
rustyjames- Posts : 293
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
There is some confusion about this. The write up gives thisrustyjames wrote:Yes good summary PeterMac.
Just one minor thing - I posted the other day that the video you posted earlier in this thread was possibly the wrong link as it was of Day 4 and I believe May 3rd was Day 3 of the competition. Day 4 looks a lot nicer.
[img][You must be registered and logged in to see this image.][/img]
There is probably a difference between the "official version' with day 1 being the day of arrival, briefing etc
and day 1 of racing, which is possibly the next day.
Needs more work either way.
But is does show serious wind in the early afternoon. Those windsails are belting along, and bystanders are wearing fleeces.
Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
This link gives a nicer presentation of all the info in the photo: [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
rustyjames- Posts : 293
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Joss wrote:You're welcome. In reply to your question it could be modified but i don't really know for sure. I am not very photography knowledgeable, but maybe someone else that is could answer the question a bit better?Smokeandmirrors wrote:Joss thanks for posting up the info about the metadata. It says the picture was created on the 3rd but modified on the 24th. Could this mean the creation date could have been modified?
The info. is from the link i just posted earlier, the Mccannfiles.
Yes, it can.
google is, or have a quick look at
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] How to Edit Exif Data in Photographs
Why would anyone want to modify the Exif data of photographs? Well, there can be several genuine reasons.
For instance, the internal date of your camera was incorrect and therefore all the pictures were captured with a wrong timestamp.
EXIF Date Changer 3.0.1.2
Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
PeterMac wrote:
SNIP
There is probably a difference between the "official version' with day 1 being the day of arrival, briefing etc
and day 1 of racing, which is possibly the next day.
Needs more work either way.
But is does show serious wind in the early afternoon. Those windsails are belting along, and bystanders are wearing fleeces.
The schedule seems to be clearer on the main page for the competition - [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
rustyjames- Posts : 293
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Thankyou for the reply & the links.PeterMac wrote:Joss wrote:You're welcome. In reply to your question it could be modified but i don't really know for sure. I am not very photography knowledgeable, but maybe someone else that is could answer the question a bit better?Smokeandmirrors wrote:Joss thanks for posting up the info about the metadata. It says the picture was created on the 3rd but modified on the 24th. Could this mean the creation date could have been modified?
The info. is from the link i just posted earlier, the Mccannfiles.
Yes, it can.
google is, or have a quick look at
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.] How to Edit Exif Data in Photographs
Why would anyone want to modify the Exif data of photographs? Well, there can be several genuine reasons.
For instance, the internal date of your camera was incorrect and therefore all the pictures were captured with a wrong timestamp.
EXIF Date Changer 3.0.1.2
Joss- Posts : 1960
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
Weather during the Portimão Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix 2007:
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
DAY 1
Press Release 6, Portimão, 01.05.07
The Portimão Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix had a perfect start today: 10 to 17 knots of sideshore wind transformed Praia do Alvor into a perfect formula Arena. In the best possible conditions, the maximum of four races was run by Claudio Alessandrello, the race director from Italy. The current Formula Windsurfing Worldchampion Steve Allen (AUS-0, Tabou, Gaastra) from Australia fully dominated the day and won all four races. After day one, he is leading the regatta with the optimum score of 3,00 points.
.....
As the racers achieved the maximum of the allowed four races today and once the forecast for the next days is again excellent, the race director decided to give the racers some time to recover. Therefore, for tomorrow the Skippers Meeting is set for 12:00 with the first possible start at 13:00. The forecasts predict even stronger wind than today, so the spectators at Praia do Alvor can again expect a great Formula Windsurfing show. The Portimão Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix will last until Saturday, May 5th
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
DAY 2
Press Release 7, Portimão, 02.05.07
Portimao continues to provide perfect conditions for the competitors at the Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix at Alvor beach. With 14 to 22 knots the wind was even a little bit stronger then on the opening day. Together with waves up to 2 metres and a strong shorebreak this really pushed the racers to the limit.
......
The conditions in Portimao seem to be too good this year! The organization is facing an unusual luxury problem as they have to distribute the allowed 15 races over the five competition days. The forecast for the next days is excellent. Therefore for tomorrow the Skippers Meeting is again set for 12:00 with the first possible start at 13:00. The spectators at Alvor beach can again expect a great Formula Windsurfing show. The Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix Portimao will last until Saturday, May 5th.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
DAY 3
Press Release 8, Portimão, 03.05.07
The third day of the Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix Portimao, sponsorized event by the Municipal Council of Portimão and ExpoArade, EM, brought again great Formula Racing action to the beach of Alvor. Today the wind was a little bit lighter with 10 to 18 knots. Together with the bright sunshine this enabled the racers to enjoy a perfect competition day. Another three races were run under the supervision of the race director Claudio Alessandrello from Italy.
........
For tomorrow the forecasts predict again stronger wind of 20 knots and more. Three more races are planned. The Skippers Meeting is set for 12:00 with the first possible start at 13:00. The spectators at Alvor beach can again expect a great Formula Windsurfing show. The Portimão Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix will last until Saturday, May 5th.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
_______________________________________________________________________________________________
Seems the 1st and 3rd May were the least windy.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
DAY 1
Press Release 6, Portimão, 01.05.07
The Portimão Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix had a perfect start today: 10 to 17 knots of sideshore wind transformed Praia do Alvor into a perfect formula Arena. In the best possible conditions, the maximum of four races was run by Claudio Alessandrello, the race director from Italy. The current Formula Windsurfing Worldchampion Steve Allen (AUS-0, Tabou, Gaastra) from Australia fully dominated the day and won all four races. After day one, he is leading the regatta with the optimum score of 3,00 points.
.....
As the racers achieved the maximum of the allowed four races today and once the forecast for the next days is again excellent, the race director decided to give the racers some time to recover. Therefore, for tomorrow the Skippers Meeting is set for 12:00 with the first possible start at 13:00. The forecasts predict even stronger wind than today, so the spectators at Praia do Alvor can again expect a great Formula Windsurfing show. The Portimão Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix will last until Saturday, May 5th
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
DAY 2
Press Release 7, Portimão, 02.05.07
Portimao continues to provide perfect conditions for the competitors at the Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix at Alvor beach. With 14 to 22 knots the wind was even a little bit stronger then on the opening day. Together with waves up to 2 metres and a strong shorebreak this really pushed the racers to the limit.
......
The conditions in Portimao seem to be too good this year! The organization is facing an unusual luxury problem as they have to distribute the allowed 15 races over the five competition days. The forecast for the next days is excellent. Therefore for tomorrow the Skippers Meeting is again set for 12:00 with the first possible start at 13:00. The spectators at Alvor beach can again expect a great Formula Windsurfing show. The Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix Portimao will last until Saturday, May 5th.
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
DAY 3
Press Release 8, Portimão, 03.05.07
The third day of the Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix Portimao, sponsorized event by the Municipal Council of Portimão and ExpoArade, EM, brought again great Formula Racing action to the beach of Alvor. Today the wind was a little bit lighter with 10 to 18 knots. Together with the bright sunshine this enabled the racers to enjoy a perfect competition day. Another three races were run under the supervision of the race director Claudio Alessandrello from Italy.
........
For tomorrow the forecasts predict again stronger wind of 20 knots and more. Three more races are planned. The Skippers Meeting is set for 12:00 with the first possible start at 13:00. The spectators at Alvor beach can again expect a great Formula Windsurfing show. The Portimão Formula Windsurfing Grand Prix will last until Saturday, May 5th.
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Seems the 1st and 3rd May were the least windy.
Nereid- Posts : 308
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Re: Analyzing position of sun in last photo
[You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]rustyjames wrote:PeterMac wrote:
SNIP
There is probably a difference between the "official version' with day 1 being the day of arrival, briefing etc
and day 1 of racing, which is possibly the next day.
Needs more work either way.
But is does show serious wind in the early afternoon. Those windsails are belting along, and bystanders are wearing fleeces.
The schedule seems to be clearer on the main page for the competition - [You must be registered and logged in to see this link.]
Windy, cloudy over land, clear in the south, intermittent sunshine.
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Not exactly cracking the flags as they say.
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