It may be of relevance to the Tapas7 and TM as a whole. I wonder if it came up at the meeting in Rothley.
The Prisoner's Dilemma
The "Prisoner's Dilemma" is a very famous "paradox" in Game Theory. It describes two people in a simple situation, acting in an informed manner, both attempting to maximise their wellbeing, and yet making choices that lead to an unnecessarily poor outcome for both.
Two people, who are suspected of being accomplices in a crime, are held prisoner in separate, non-communicating cells.
The police visit each prisoner, and tell both that if neither confesses, each will be sentenced to two years in jail.
However, if exactly one prisoner confesses, implicating each other, the one who confesses will get off scot-free as a reward, and the other, who didn't confess, will receive a punitive sentence of five years.
If each confesses and implicates the other, both will be sentenced to three years.
What should a prisoner in this situation do?
Suppose that the other prisoner doesn't confess.
Then the best course of action is to confess, and go free.
Even if the other prisoner does confess, it will be better to have done likewise - at least the sentence will be lower.
Both prisoners will reason thus, so both will confess and end up serving sentences of three years - even though, if both had remained silent, each would have served a sentence of only two years.
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Unless Maddie's remains are found pointing to them I think they are home free and dry (IMHO anyway).
They proved they have hide of elephant that I suspect the dark cloud of suspicion forever hovering over them is least of their concern.
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I sometimes wonder who is the weakest link in the group. Surely they can`t all be as brazen as Kate and Gerry. It can`t be easy to live a lie especially when you have to watch that pair`s performance on such a regular basis and there`s no chance of pushing what really happened to the back of your mind.
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