Criminal profiler Pat Brown's latest blog 1/11/13 - "It's a Disaster" - Gerry McCann

bristow wrote:http://patbrownprofiling.blogspot.co.uk/2013/11/its-disaster-gerry-mccann.html

Sockpuppet wrote:

bristow wrote:http://patbrownprofiling.blogspot.co.uk/2013/11/its-disaster-gerry-mccann.html

I totally agree with Pat's theory in every way :)

SchrodingersBody wrote: I would add that I think they found her almost dead,

I do not believe the McCanns went to dinner with the knowledge that their child was dead and then planned to "discover" her missing later that evening.

bristow wrote:http://patbrownprofiling.blogspot.co.uk/2013/11/its-disaster-gerry-mccann.html

MarleneP wrote:

SchrodingersBody wrote: I would add that I think they found her almost dead,

I would like to agree. But Pat Brown writes

I do not believe the McCanns went to dinner with the knowledge that their child was dead and then planned to "discover" her missing later that evening.

I could imagine they found her almost dead, she died. They went to dinner (the twins sedated) and Kate was surprised when she could not find the child: "They've taken her." In this scenario, we do not know how she came to death,. Accident with family, abuse of a stranger? Who was introduced and took the child away?

Okeydokey wrote:

bristow wrote:http://patbrownprofiling.blogspot.co.uk/2013/11/its-disaster-gerry-mccann.html

They've got terrier with her teeth sunk in their ankle now haven't they?

Hongkong Phooey wrote:Pat hasn't taken into account that in Scotland we use the word disaster not in its truest sense,  many things are called a disaster which are not catastrophic.  I do however tend to agree with  her theory.

thetruthbeknown wrote:number 3, would be in one of my (many) theories..Once realising that Madeleine couldnt be saved, after accidental death..self preservation kicked in. Realising they had been neglectful, and would be possibily prosecuted and condemned, that basic instinct of 'self preservation' kicked in. They could not afford to lose everything, their jobs and lifestyle relied on being seen as responsible, plus the consequences of the criminal charge of neglect...They would have felt an overwhelming force to make this look like someone elses fault...In fact on the recent Crimewatch program, one of the first things said by Kate 'We have done nothing wrong'...In denial...

Châtelaine wrote:I still have every big problems believing that they left their 3 children under 4 alone with the doors open.
They may be selfish, narcissistic, whatever ... but they just cannot be that stupid.
No neglect, no abduction, though ...

boo boos wrote:Kate Mccann: 'I know what happened is not due to leaving the children asleep. It happened under other circumstances.'

secrets and lies wrote:When you examine Pat's three possible scenario's it is difficult to go fully with the third option.

While that is the one I WANT to believe, as others have pointed out, if the McCann's had simply invented a simple and not very sophisticated cover-up (scenario 3) then how in hell did they manage to galvanise the press and start such a massive media blitz so quickly.

The cool headedness it would take to think in that direction and the calculated wherewithall to execute such a cunning ploy does in know way fit in with Pat's favoured scenario.


Yes, we know they had top drawer connections. I believe I read that Kate knew someone in SKY NEWS etc, but to be able to put all those pieces together in the midst of such shock and turmoil, if we are to adhere to scenario 3, would mean that The McCanns are nothing short of superhuman.

Even IF the accident had happened days before the 3rd, at what point did the McCanns click that they had a potential business enterprise on their hands? And where would they have found the courage to go down this route if they truly were dealing with grief and terror in relation to "an accident"?

I recall a thread somewhere about Gerry McCann applying for the internet domain for "find Maddie", a whole year before the event. Probably just hearsay but also sets you thinking.

With all due respect to Pat, she is a criminal profiler by profession and to indulge in scenario 2 and all the potential premeditated darkness that entails, might be too much and call her reputation into question in some quarters. It might simply be TOO speculative for her to be seen to believe and that would be perfectly understandable. She has done a mighty job already in analysing the muddle of data we do have.

juliet wrote:I agree with Chatelaine. I can't believe they all left those tiny - and in some cases sick - infants alone. They would have to all be monsters. Pat Brown's theory is too simple and doesn't take into account the immediate arrival of government support, the story being in the Telegraph by midnight, the possibly pre-printed posters, the deleted phone messages and create Reid anomalies, lack of Maddie Dna in the flat etc etc.  To me what happened is more sinister.

Praiaaa wrote:

sonic72 wrote:

juliet wrote:Gerry is a useful surgeon quote]
er, says who? hardly think so - doesn't he just look at scans? I don't think he's a real surgeon.

juliet wrote:That's exactly what they had, sonic - the "crisis management gold package". 
Why?
What happened must have been of more significance  than a bunch of cold-hearted midland docs being caught out neglecting their kids on holiday.