The most sensible theory so far

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  PeterMac on Sat Dec 03, 2011 9:01 am

Occam's Razor needs stropping again.

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  Guest on Sat Dec 03, 2011 9:11 am

PeterMac wrote:Occam's Razor needs stropping again.


I have no idea what this 'occam's razor' is, having seen it mentioned many, many times before. Perhaps I am not alone in wondering what it really means. Stropping sounds a bit kinky !!

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  Marian on Sat Dec 03, 2011 9:19 am


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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  Guest on Sat Dec 03, 2011 9:32 am

Thanks Marian, but that is way to deep for me at this time of the morning.

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  joyce1938 on Sat Dec 03, 2011 9:58 am

stella, i think that mr smith was very open and admitted he did not see g m s face properly at all ,so he says the only way that elerted him was down plane steps as they got back,and thwe wlking carrying stance that elerted him,pity you gave up any other sitr stella, i find a lot of discussion on other sites too,shame it can get a bit upsetting from one to another at times on some sites,just have to find a way to let some go,but i can understand most keep to one site maybe.sncerely joyce1938

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  Guest on Sat Dec 03, 2011 10:13 am

If Mr Smith did not see the face properly Joyce, how could he have confirmed it was not Robert Murat? In fact, why bring Robert Murat's name into the discussion in the first place? I know he claimed it was only after seeing Gerry carrying a twin down the steps that helped him to remember, but to be honest, there is only two ways to carry a child. Over your shoulder and across both arms. It's hardly enlightening.


Last edited by Stella on Sat Dec 03, 2011 10:19 am; edited 1 time in total

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  joyce1938 on Sat Dec 03, 2011 10:18 am

Hi stella thanks for your reply. dont understand either why mr smith would speak at that time of murratt,will need to reread i guess,so much to take in at times that i do have to refresh to see the wood for the tree joyce1938

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  rainbow-fairy on Sat Dec 03, 2011 10:56 am

Stella wrote:If Mr Smith did not see the face properly Joyce, how could he have confirmed it was not Robert Murat? In fact, why bring Robert Murat's name into the discussion in the first place? I know he claimed it was only after seeing Gerry carrying a twin down the steps that helped him to remember, but to be honest, there is only two ways to carry a child. Over your shoulder and across both arms. It's hardly enlightening.

That's an easy one Stella. If we take into account the reasons why some believe this 'sighting' was concocted to help Murat (as Smith knew/knew of Murat) by very virtue of his knowing him he would know instantly and instinctively it wasn't Murat. You don't need to see faces to know, mannerisms are enough - didn't Murat have a distinctive gait? Why he mentioned Murat at all is another matter and neither here nor there in relation to being able to tell who someone isn't. If you get me! Wink

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  Marian on Sat Dec 03, 2011 11:48 am

Stella wrote:Thanks Marian, but that is way to deep for me at this time of the morning.


You and me both! The most straightforward summary that I can find is "The simplest of two or more competing theories is preferable and that an explanation for unknown phenomena should first be attempted in terms of what is already known".

It's ironic that the explanation for a term intending to simplify things is so mind-boggingly complicated!

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Re: The most sensible theory so far

Post  Guest on Sat Dec 03, 2011 12:30 pm

Exactly.

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