Pat Brown - What about the Window

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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  candyfloss on Tue Feb 21, 2012 7:08 pm

Interesting tweets from lime_harry who is the journalist publishing the interview with Pat on 2th Feb ......

Journalist on weekly newspaper in the Algarve, very interested in the McCann story and the truth.

Lagos, Algarve, Portugal




lime_harry@lime_harryReply
Retweet

@eckieneylon Interview with PatB to be published on Thursday 24 Feb on http://www.algarve123.com, if you are interested



jackie neylon@jackieneylon

@justice4maddie @JillyCL @zante03 Yes Pat has done much more.Using her own time and money for an unknown child and being abused for doing so




lime_harry@lime_harry


@jackieneylon @justice4maddie @JillyCL @zante03 PatB is an incredibly honest woman trying to safeguard the handling of missing person cases


More here.........

http://twitter.com/#!/lime_harry

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PR = Parental Responsibility



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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  Moa on Tue Feb 21, 2012 7:13 pm

candyfloss wrote:Interesting tweets from lime_harry who is the journalist publishing the interview with Pat on 2th Feb ......

Journalist on weekly newspaper in the Algarve, very interested in the McCann story and the truth.

Lagos, Algarve, Portugal




lime_harry@lime_harryReply
Retweet

@eckieneylon Interview with PatB to be published on Thursday 24 Feb on http://www.algarve123.com, if you are interested



jackie neylon@jackieneylon

@justice4maddie @JillyCL @zante03 Yes Pat has done much more.Using her own time and money for an unknown child and being abused for doing so




lime_harry@lime_harry


@jackieneylon @justice4maddie @JillyCL @zante03 PatB is an incredibly honest woman trying to safeguard the handling of missing person cases


More here.........

http://twitter.com/#!/lime_harry


Thursday the 23 or Friday 24 ? Since Thursday 24 do not exist this year smilie

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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  Stewie on Wed Feb 22, 2012 11:31 pm

Article in Algarve 123 is posted but need a subscription to view it all - anyone have a sub?


Pat Brown
American Criminal Profiler probes McCann mystery

She ar rived in Lis bon from Wash ing ton, D.C wheel ing a travel-worn suit case and car ry ing a metal de tector. In side her suit­case, she’d packed a soil probe and a spade. Pat Brown - Crim­inal Pro filer, TV com ment ator and au thor - was on a mis sion. As so cial net work ing sites buzzed with the news – split between those that wished her well, and those that vo ci fer ously didn’t – Brown was un deterred. “This has noth ing to do with […] »

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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  Cheshire Cat on Thu Feb 23, 2012 1:33 am

Stewie wrote:Article in Algarve 123 is posted but need a subscription to view it all - anyone have a sub?

Pat Brown
American Criminal Profiler probes McCann mystery

She ar rived in Lis bon from Wash ing ton, D.C wheel ing a travel-worn suit case and car ry ing a metal de tector. In side her suit­case, she’d packed a soil probe and a spade. Pat Brown - Crim­inal Pro filer, TV com ment ator and au thor - was on a mis sion. As so cial net work ing sites buzzed with the news – split between those that wished her well, and those that vo ci fer ously didn’t – Brown was un deterred. “This has noth ing to do with […] »


Little bit more....

So what’s the bottom line? Will this case ever be solved? “If it could be proved that Gerry McCann was at the dinner table in the Tapas restaurant between 9.15 and 9.55” (when a man looking apparently very much like Gerry McCann was seen by an Irish family carrying a child in pink pyjamas over his shoulder as he walked in the direction of the beach) “then that would be proof that there was an abduction”.

“If the cadaver dogs were right” (brought in three months after Madeleine went missing, and which reacted positively to the possibility that a dead body had lain in the apartment) “then there was no abduction”.

And for those two details to be established, we’re back to the reasoning of former police officer in charge of the case, Gonçalo Amaral: there has to be a reconstruction of that fateful night of 3rd May 2007 – using all parties involved.

“But so far as we know, that doesn’t look like happening any day soon!” Brown shakes her head. “I honestly don’t know what the Metropolitan Police are doing with their current review of the case - which is costing millions of pounds. As far as I can see, they haven’t started where they should have started – with crime scene reconstruction.

“That’s where there’s the best crack at getting to the truth!”

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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  rainbow-fairy on Thu Feb 23, 2012 7:26 am

From the Algarve 123 article -
"So what’s the bottom line? Will this case ever be solved? “If it could be proved that Gerry McCann was at the dinner table in the Tapas restaurant between 9.15 and 9.55” (when a man looking apparently very much like Gerry McCann was seen by an Irish family carrying a child in pink pyjamas over his shoulder as he walked in the direction of the beach) “then that would be proof that there was an abduction”.

I'm afraid to say I think Pat's 'burden of proof' is ridiculously low. I don't see how proving Gerry was at the table proves an abduction? Seems to me she has made a couple of fatal assumptions;
1)The Smith sighting is genuine,
2)Correct that it was Gerry
3)The carried child was Madeleine

If all points above were 100% verified, then yes, I'd agree with her but how could you possibly verify them?
What does 'Gerry at dinner Table' prove?
A: Nothing! Maddie could've been moved by any of the other Tapas, person unknown to us but not the T9, or maybe (and most likely, IMO) Maddie was already in another location by the night of the 3rd!
I've done my best to explain my thinking here but I've only just woken up, so if I've made a big muck-up please put me right!
I admire Pat, greatly, but tbh if these are her conclusions then I'm very disappointed...


Last edited by rainbow-fairy on Thu Feb 23, 2012 7:57 am; edited 1 time in total (Reason for editing : typo's)

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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  tigger on Thu Feb 23, 2012 8:16 am

RF and RD:
Quite worrying. I don't agree with Pat's conclusion at all.
1. The Tapas would give him any alibi and probably have done so.
2. The waiters at the Tapas have given conflicting statements.
3. Even though the Tapas tried to give him full cover, there are many inconsistencies in their statements.
Imo it can never be proved Gerry was at the table between those 9.30 and 10.00.

We do have: the Smiths' sighting and description - including the beige,button trousers.
We do have photographs of the 5a crime scene; one with a pair of beige trousers thrown on the bed (and a later photograph with G wearing them)
This tells me that G came back to 5a and changed his clothes - the dark top and the trousers - in a hurry.
The following crime scene photos do not have the trousers on the bed.

So one could surmise that: Gerry did his abduction run but was unfortunate in being seen by a group of 8/9 people all around him - instead of on one side of the road. He must have expected the Smiths' to come forward the following day.
Still, the sensible thing was to change into clothes other than those the 'abductor' was seen in. Jane Tanner also gave a description of the same type of clothes so that took care of it being the same abductor. The T7 took care of his alibi at the table. He was safe enough.

Besides, it still doesn't explain the cadaver scent, the blood, the car and a whole lot of other facts.




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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  Cheshire Cat on Thu Feb 23, 2012 8:24 am

rainbow-fairy wrote:From the Algarve 123 article -
"So what’s the bottom line? Will this case ever be solved? “If it could be proved that Gerry McCann was at the dinner table in the Tapas restaurant between 9.15 and 9.55” (when a man looking apparently very much like Gerry McCann was seen by an Irish family carrying a child in pink pyjamas over his shoulder as he walked in the direction of the beach) “then that would be proof that there was an abduction”.

I'm afraid to say I think Pat's 'burden of proof' is ridiculously low. I don't see how proving Gerry was at the table proves an abduction? Seems to me she has made a couple of fatal assumptions;
1)The Smith sighting is genuine,
2)Correct that it was Gerry
3)The carried child was Madeleine

If all points above were 100% verified, then yes, I'd agree with her but how could you possibly verify them?
What does 'Gerry at dinner Table' prove?
A: Nothing! Maddie could've been moved by any of the other Tapas, person unknown to us but not the T9, or maybe (and most likely, IMO) Maddie was already in another location by the night of the 3rd!
I've done my best to explain my thinking here but I've only just woken up, so if I've made a big muck-up please put me right!
I admire Pat, greatly, but tbh if these are her conclusions then I'm very disappointed...


So what’s the bottom line? Will this case ever be solved? “If it could be proved that Gerry McCann was at the dinner table in the Tapas restaurant between 9.15 and 9.55” (when a man looking apparently very much like Gerry McCann was seen by an Irish family carrying a child in pink pyjamas over his shoulder as he walked in the direction of the beach) “then that would be proof that there was an abduction”.

“If the cadaver dogs were right” (brought in three months after Madeleine went missing, and which reacted positively to the possibility that a dead body had lain in the apartment) “then there was no abduction”.

And for those two details to be established, we’re back to the reasoning of former police officer in charge of the case, Gonçalo Amaral: there has to be a reconstruction of that fateful night of 3rd May 2007 – using all parties involved.


Pat gives two conditions - she also says that the Cadaver dogs would need to be wrong for there to be an abduction. Remember Pat has met with Amaral where I am sure the Smith sighting would have been discussed. I do believe that the Smith sighting was of Gerry McCann and it is vital to the McCann's to persuade sceptics that it was not G that the Smiths saw. Of course there are McCann sceptics who do not believe it was Gerry that Mr Smith saw. I have listened to their argument and it is reasoned and logical but I continue to believe it was Gerry that the Smiths saw.

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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  PeterMac on Thu Feb 23, 2012 8:36 am

Full text

Pat Brown
American Criminal Profiler probes McCann mystery
She arrived in Lisbon from Washington, D.C wheeling a travel-worn suitcase and carrying a metal detector. Inside her suitcase, she’d packed a soil probe and a spade. Pat Brown - Criminal Profiler, TV commentator and author - was on a mission. As social networking sites buzzed with the news – split between those that wished her well, and those that vociferously didn’t – Brown was undeterred. “This has nothing to do with self-publicity. I am simply trying to get to the truth”. We caught up with her when Brown arrived in the Algarve after meetings in the capital with Gonçalo Amaral and others who have put their reputations on the line in an attempt to solve the millennium’s greatest mystery.

One of the first questions we asked was why an American criminal profiler and TV personality felt the need cross the Atlantic to Portugal to investigate a missing person’s case that was almost five years old?
“Two reasons,” she told us. “One is that I have always been passionately involved in a search for the truth. It’s not something that makes me popular, but it’s something I care about above my own reputation as this case threatens to prejudice the way missing person’s cases are handled.
“We have a situation here where there are two parents who have refused to cooperate fully with a police investigation – who have refused to answer questions, who have changed their stories and fled from jurisdiction – but who have then taken their story - in the way they want us to believe it - to the media, asking people to donate money to fund a search for a child who, statistically-speaking, is almost certainly dead!
“I can understand bereaved parents doing some crazy things, but never have I seen parents like this before! Their actions have opened the door to speculation.
“My other reason is to show support for Gonçalo Amaral and freedom of speech”. Amaral faces trial for defamation of the McCanns over the publication of his book, “The Truth of the Lie” in which he maintains that three-year-old Madeleine McCann died in apartment 5a on the night of May 3rd 2007. His trial was originally set for February 9th -10th, but postponed. Brown decided to take advantage of her booked flight to see if she could learn anything new by visiting the crime scene.
And did she?
“Yes, absolutely. I discovered more about the situation on the street; I learnt about the locks on the doors and how they work; how the shutter and window would be impossible to open from the outside; about the kind of terrain here – but my line of thought has remained the same: there are two simple answers to this crime.
“The simplest answer is that Madeleine was abducted by a local predator (in which case she would almost certainly have been killed within two to three hours) – and the second simplest answer is that she died in a tragic accident and her body was disposed of.
“To eliminate the second simplest answer, we have to establish without doubt that there was an abduction – and that hasn’t happened”.
Does she believe, like Gonçalo Amaral, that what’s needed is a reconstruction of the night Madeleine went missing?
“Hell yes! And that’s what they have consistently refused to go along with – all of them: the McCanns and the rest of the Tapas group! The McCanns particularly have been their own worst enemies. They could provide answers in a number of ways: by taking part in a reconstruction, by submitting to polygraph testing. You see, they have to be eliminated in order for the first simplest answer to be the highest probability!
“Another aspect that truly bothers me is the promotion of mythology. Sex rings have become the new bogeyman. Every parent has been made to fear that their child could be grabbed by a sex ring – but sex rings do not operate in hotel complexes!
If a sex ring wants a child, it grabs one off the streets in some poor neighbourhood. It doesn’t snatch a middle-class child from its bed while on holiday, particularly when - if the stories we’re led to believe are true - all the parents were jumping up and down from their dinner table every 15 minutes to check on their children! Any abductor would be lying in wait thinking “when the heck am I going to get a chance to break into an apartment!” Brown’s experience of profiling began when she was already in her 40s and had been working as a sign language interpreter on hospital trauma wards for over a decade. During those years she “saw everything”: gunshot wounds, stab and rape casualties, victims and villains. The experience taught her a lot about life, crime and circumstance – and then she found herself having rented a room for four weeks to a man she believed should have been “a person-of-interest” in a brutal sexual homicide. This unsettling experience was the start of her interest in profiling and how homicide cases are handled. It took six years for the police to bring the man in for questioning and declare him a suspect in the murder – and it led to Brown specialising in a profession that invariably finds itself called in way too late.
“One of my ambitions is to make profilers a prerequisite on all police forces,” she told us. “We need to be called in right at the beginning. Crime scenes need better handling”.
“If parents were separated when police first arrived on the scene, along with everyone else involved, it would be much easier to verify everyone’s stories - and a true timeline could be established.
“In this case, the McCanns and their friends were given days to confer with each other. The result is that in order to look better maybe, or to explain things that are embarrassing, they may have screwed up the timeline to the extent that they look guilty. Or, if the McCanns were involved in the death of their daughter, they had a chance to get their stories straight”.
So what’s the bottom line? Will this case ever be solved? “If it could be proved that Gerry McCann was at the dinner table in the Tapas restaurant between 9.15 and 9.55” (when a man looking apparently very much like Gerry McCann was seen by an Irish family carrying a child in pink pyjamas over his shoulder as he walked in the direction of the beach) “then that would be proof that there was an abduction”.
“If the cadaver dogs were right” (brought in three months after Madeleine went missing, and which reacted positively to the possibility that a dead body had lain in the apartment) “then there was no abduction”.
And for those two details to be established, we’re back to the reasoning of former police officer in charge of the case, Gonçalo Amaral: there has to be a reconstruction of that fateful night of 3rd May 2007 – using all parties involved.
“But so far as we know, that doesn’t look like happening any day soon!” Brown shakes her head. “I honestly don’t know what the Metropolitan Police are doing with their current review of the case - which is costing millions of pounds. As far as I can see, they haven’t started where they should have started – with crime scene reconstruction.
“That’s where there’s the best crack at getting to the truth!”

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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  rainbow-fairy on Thu Feb 23, 2012 8:43 am

Cheshire Cat wrote:
rainbow-fairy wrote:From the Algarve 123 article -
"So what’s the bottom line? Will this case ever be solved? “If it could be proved that Gerry McCann was at the dinner table in the Tapas restaurant between 9.15 and 9.55” (when a man looking apparently very much like Gerry McCann was seen by an Irish family carrying a child in pink pyjamas over his shoulder as he walked in the direction of the beach) “then that would be proof that there was an abduction”.

I'm afraid to say I think Pat's 'burden of proof' is ridiculously low. I don't see how proving Gerry was at the table proves an abduction? Seems to me she has made a couple of fatal assumptions;
1)The Smith sighting is genuine,
2)Correct that it was Gerry
3)The carried child was Madeleine

If all points above were 100% verified, then yes, I'd agree with her but how could you possibly verify them?
What does 'Gerry at dinner Table' prove?
A: Nothing! Maddie could've been moved by any of the other Tapas, person unknown to us but not the T9, or maybe (and most likely, IMO) Maddie was already in another location by the night of the 3rd!
I've done my best to explain my thinking here but I've only just woken up, so if I've made a big muck-up please put me right!
I admire Pat, greatly, but tbh if these are her conclusions then I'm very disappointed...


So what’s the bottom line? Will this case ever be solved? “If it could be proved that Gerry McCann was at the dinner table in the Tapas restaurant between 9.15 and 9.55” (when a man looking apparently very much like Gerry McCann was seen by an Irish family carrying a child in pink pyjamas over his shoulder as he walked in the direction of the beach) “then that would be proof that there was an abduction”.

“If the cadaver dogs were right” (brought in three months after Madeleine went missing, and which reacted positively to the possibility that a dead body had lain in the apartment) “then there was no abduction”.

And for those two details to be established, we’re back to the reasoning of former police officer in charge of the case, Gonçalo Amaral: there has to be a reconstruction of that fateful night of 3rd May 2007 – using all parties involved.


Pat gives two conditions - she also says that the Cadaver dogs would need to be wrong for there to be an abduction. Remember Pat has met with Amaral where I am sure the Smith sighting would have been discussed. I do believe that the Smith sighting was of Gerry McCann and it is vital to the McCann's to persuade sceptics that it was not G that the Smiths saw. Of course there are McCann sceptics who do not believe it was Gerry that Mr Smith saw. I have listened to their argument and it is reasoned and logical but I continue to believe it was Gerry that the Smiths saw.

Cheshire Cat, I am with you re the Smith sighting. 100% genuine, and 100% GMcC IMO. I've posted elsewhere here why I believe the McCanns were left with no choice but to link 'bundleman' and 'Smith' - even though it is ridiculous - however, I still think Pat has dropped the ball here.
Whilst I totally believe a reconstruction is absolutely vital, there are so many odd variables.
IF Gerry proven to be at table, does this automatically mean the Smiths are mistaken / lying? Even if yes, does this PROVE Maddie was abducted? No - she (imo) was not in 5A by that time to BE abducted... Even if she was there, it could've been one of the others.
Does that make sense?
I also have concerns about 'IF the cadaver dogs were wrong' - 1)How could you prove that? A recovered live Maddie??? 2)even IF they are wrong, it wouldn't prove an abduction happened.
Either I have missed something here or Pat has made a few too may assumptions. I'm not trying to do her down as I am a great fan of hers. I follow her by e-mail and have posted in her defence many times.
I think its probably best to wait for her report, as this is only a media interview - she could've been misquoted.
I'm awaiting her report with baited breath... I'm sure her ideas will be explained more fully there.

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Re: Pat Brown - What about the Window

Post  jd on Thu Feb 23, 2012 8:57 am

I think Pats talks a lot of sense overall in what is said in this article. Relating to what really happened she has only said 'if's" and 'buts" & not given any info on what she has actually discovered, but the general 'overview' of a crime makes complete sense & what I would expect from a criminal profiler

I don't believe the Smith sighting at all...to me it is clear and obvious as day is light that this was made up to help Murat

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